Arthur Gea vs Lorenzo Carboni Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In second serve success, Arthur Gea captures 43.35% of points in recent matches, slightly trailing Lorenzo Carboni's 43.59%.
• Return game analysis reveals Arthur Gea wins 48.04% of his opponent's second serve points, outperforming Lorenzo's 46.34%. But on first serve returns, Lorenzo leads slightly with 30.57% compared to Arthur's 28.14%.
• Under pressure situations, Lorenzo excels by saving 53.25% of breakpoints, while Arthur saves 45.39%.
• In terms of overall match success over the last year, Arthur's win rate is 67.90%, edging out Lorenzo's 64.29%.
• Both players find their best performance on Hard courts with identical win rates of 76%, yet Lorenzo struggles on Indoor Hard courts with no wins in such conditions.
• Arthur dominates in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K events, boasting a 91.11% win rate, significantly higher than Lorenzo's 70.69%.
• Arthur's opponents in the past year averaged a rank of 396.2, suggesting a slightly lower level of competition compared to Lorenzo's opponents, who averaged a rank of 349.39.
• In deciding sets, Lorenzo exhibits a stronger performance, winning 63% of these matches to Arthur's 43% over the past year.
• Event-specific performances and current form should be considered, potentially affecting their H2H match outcome.

Editorial Prediction (October 28, 2025, UTC):

Arthur Gea and Lorenzo Carboni display closely matched second serve effectiveness, with neither player gaining a decisive edge in this area. However, a deeper dive into their return game abilities indicates that Arthur has a slight advantage, especially when returning the opponent’s second serves.

While Lorenzo shows superior breakpoint saving skills, which can be vital during critical moments, Arthur’s overall match success and dominance in lower-tier tournaments make him a resilient competitor.

Lorenzo's strong performance in deciding sets and his capacity to play against higher-ranked opponents hints at a capacity to thrive in high-pressure scenarios. Yet, Arthur's excellent win rate in his primary tournament category should not be underestimated, as it might reflect his consistency and form.

Considering all elements, including surface preferences and opponent rankings, Lorenzo Carboni's ability to respond under pressure and win crucial points sets him up as the likely favorite in this matchup against Arthur Gea.